During the late US session, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is trading near $67,250 as the market braces for a series of major economic events from the Unites States economy. At 12:30, the U.S. will release its Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) month-on-month data, expected to remain steady at 0.3%.
Simultaneously, the overall CPI is anticipated to show a modest increase of 0.1%, down from the previous 0.3%. Year-over-year CPI is forecasted to hold at 3.4%.
These CPI figures are critical as they provide insight into inflation trends. Inflation directly influences the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions. Higher-than-expected inflation could prompt the Fed to maintain or even increase interest rates to curb rising prices, which often impacts investment flows into riskier assets like cryptocurrencies.
Conversely, lower inflation could lead to a more dovish stance, potentially benefiting Bitcoin and other digital assets as investors seek higher returns.
Federal Reserve Rate and FOMC to Impact Bitcoin Price
At 18:00, the Federal Reserve will announce its Federal Funds Rate, which is expected to remain unchanged at 5.50%. The Fed’s decision on interest rates is crucial, as it affects borrowing costs and liquidity in the financial system.
Higher rates generally strengthen the U.S. dollar, making it more attractive to investors, which can put downward pressure on Bitcoin prices as funds flow into safer, higher-yielding assets.
Additionally, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release its economic projections and statement. These projections, often referred to as the “dot plot,” provide insights into the Fed’s future interest rate trajectory and economic outlook.
Markets will scrutinize these projections to gauge the likelihood of future rate cuts or hikes. A projection indicating more rate hikes could lead to a stronger dollar and a bearish outlook for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
The FOMC statement and subsequent press conference will also be pivotal. Any hints from Fed officials regarding the timing of potential rate cuts could spur volatility in the crypto market.
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading at $67,262 after breaching an upward trendline around the $69,100 level and falling sharply to a low of $65,985. Hence, its suggesting a bearish Bitcoin price prediction.
This level, marked by the green pivot point, has provided significant support, triggering a bullish rebound in Bitcoin’s price. The formation of a bullish engulfing pattern indicates a potential upward trend, especially if the price remains above the $65,985 pivot point.
Key price levels to watch include immediate resistance at $69,174, with subsequent resistance levels at $71,041 and $73,000. On the downside, immediate support is found at $64,601, followed by further support at $63,456 and $62,179. These levels are crucial for maintaining the current price structure and potential upward movement.
Technical indicators also provide insights into Bitcoin’s momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 40.25, suggesting slight bearish momentum but with potential for reversal.
The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $69,100, with the price currently trading below this level, indicating a bearish trend.
Given the current technical setup, a buy position is recommended above $65,985. The target for this move is $69,174, with a stop loss set at $64,601 to manage risk.
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